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icon for Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ?

Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ?

icon for Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ?

Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ?

$575,804 Vol.

31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$575,804 Vol.

Polymarket

31 décembre 2026

$189,976 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez’s minority coalition government in Spain faces acute parliamentary fragility and sustained political pressure as of September 2026.** Loss of support from Junts since late 2025 has eliminated its working majority, forcing governance via a reconducted 2023 budget for the third consecutive year and blocking new spending plans. Multiple corruption investigations and convictions involving close associates—including the 24-year sentence for former Transport Minister José Luis Ábalos—have prompted a June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution urging resignation. The late-July Ceuta migrant surge, followed by contradictory intelligence disclosures and ongoing management challenges into September, has intensified criticism from opposition parties, some allies, and the public while straining EU relations. Sánchez highlights Spain’s strong economic growth and employment gains to defend continuity until the 2027 general election deadline, yet internal PSOE dissent, rising Vox support in polls, and potential budget or confidence votes keep removal scenarios in play for traders.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$575,804
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez’s minority coalition government in Spain faces acute parliamentary fragility and sustained political pressure as of September 2026.** Loss of support from Junts since late 2025 has eliminated its working majority, forcing governance via a reconducted 2023 budget for the third consecutive year and blocking new spending plans. Multiple corruption investigations and convictions involving close associates—including the 24-year sentence for former Transport Minister José Luis Ábalos—have prompted a June 2026 non-binding congressional resolution urging resignation. The late-July Ceuta migrant surge, followed by contradictory intelligence disclosures and ongoing management challenges into September, has intensified criticism from opposition parties, some allies, and the public while straining EU relations. Sánchez highlights Spain’s strong economic growth and employment gains to defend continuity until the 2027 general election deadline, yet internal PSOE dissent, rising Vox support in polls, and potential budget or confidence votes keep removal scenarios in play for traders.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$575,804
Date de fin
1 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 16%, suivi de « 30 juin 2026 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 16¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ? » a généré $575.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 2, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 16%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 16% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 juin 2026 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Pedro Sánchez en tant que Premier ministre d'Espagne d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.