Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting official ONPE data showing 73.79% participation with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns with pre-election expectations of high abstention—over six million of 27.3 million registered voters stayed home—driven by widespread disillusionment with fragmented politics, low trust in institutions (only 12% democratic satisfaction in 2025 surveys), and economic incentives to prioritize work despite fines. Blank and invalid votes exceeded 16% amid chaos like ballot delays prompting a one-day extension. Final certification by JNE could tweak figures marginally, but EU observers and authorities dismissed fraud claims, leaving slim room for shifts outside 70-75%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour70-75 % 99.8%
75-80 % <1%
80-85 % <1%
< 70 % <1%
$259,970 Vol.
$259,970 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
< 70 %
<1%
70-75 %
100%
75-80 %
<1%
80-85 %
<1%
> 85 %
<1%
70-75 % 99.8%
75-80 % <1%
80-85 % <1%
< 70 % <1%
$259,970 Vol.
$259,970 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
< 70 %
$33,510 Vol.
<1%
70-75 %
$71,173 Vol.
100%
75-80 %
$48,868 Vol.
<1%
80-85 %
$95,872 Vol.
<1%
> 85 %
$10,548 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting official ONPE data showing 73.79% participation with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns with pre-election expectations of high abstention—over six million of 27.3 million registered voters stayed home—driven by widespread disillusionment with fragmented politics, low trust in institutions (only 12% democratic satisfaction in 2025 surveys), and economic incentives to prioritize work despite fines. Blank and invalid votes exceeded 16% amid chaos like ballot delays prompting a one-day extension. Final certification by JNE could tweak figures marginally, but EU observers and authorities dismissed fraud claims, leaving slim room for shifts outside 70-75%.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$259,970Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting official ONPE data showing 73.79% participation with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns with pre-election expectations of high abstention—over six million of 27.3 million registered voters stayed home—driven by widespread disillusionment with fragmented politics, low trust in institutions (only 12% democratic satisfaction in 2025 surveys), and economic incentives to prioritize work despite fines. Blank and invalid votes exceeded 16% amid chaos like ballot delays prompting a one-day extension. Final certification by JNE could tweak figures marginally, but EU observers and authorities dismissed fraud claims, leaving slim room for shifts outside 70-75%.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$259,970Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70-75% voter turnout in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, reflecting official ONPE data showing 73.79% participation with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14. This aligns with pre-election expectations of high abstention—over six million of 27.3 million registered voters stayed home—driven by widespread disillusionment with fragmented politics, low trust in institutions (only 12% democratic satisfaction in 2025 surveys), and economic incentives to prioritize work despite fines. Blank and invalid votes exceeded 16% amid chaos like ballot delays prompting a one-day extension. Final certification by JNE could tweak figures marginally, but EU observers and authorities dismissed fraud claims, leaving slim room for shifts outside 70-75%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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