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icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Élections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Élections·Canada

Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Sévigny 43%

Guillaume Rousseau 43%

Dominic Bouffard 26%

Hugo Fontaine 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Bernard Sévigny 43%

Guillaume Rousseau 43%

Dominic Bouffard 26%

Hugo Fontaine 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Bernard Sévigny

Bernard Sévigny

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Guillaume Rousseau

Guillaume Rousseau

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Dominic Bouffard

Dominic Bouffard

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Hugo Fontaine

Hugo Fontaine

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for David Poulin-Latulippe

David Poulin-Latulippe

$20 Vol.

22%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open seat in Richmond has produced a closely contested race ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with recent candidate announcements in June fueling uncertainty among traders. Guillaume Rousseau (CAQ), a law professor and laïcité advocate, faces Bernard Sévigny (PQ), former Sherbrooke mayor, Hugo Fontaine (PLQ), a journalist, David Poulin-Latulippe (QS), and Dominic Bouffard (PCQ). Late August projections show narrow vote shares across CAQ, PLQ, and PQ, reflecting the riding's shift from prior CAQ dominance and the fragmented preferences of local voters on issues like provincial autonomy and regional priorities. The balanced odds capture this multi-party dynamic, where modest shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among the leading contenders could determine the winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$20
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The open seat in Richmond has produced a closely contested race ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with recent candidate announcements in June fueling uncertainty among traders. Guillaume Rousseau (CAQ), a law professor and laïcité advocate, faces Bernard Sévigny (PQ), former Sherbrooke mayor, Hugo Fontaine (PLQ), a journalist, David Poulin-Latulippe (QS), and Dominic Bouffard (PCQ). Late August projections show narrow vote shares across CAQ, PLQ, and PQ, reflecting the riding's shift from prior CAQ dominance and the fragmented preferences of local voters on issues like provincial autonomy and regional priorities. The balanced odds capture this multi-party dynamic, where modest shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among the leading contenders could determine the winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$20
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Connexes

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Bernard Sévigny » à 44%, suivi de « Guillaume Rousseau » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Bernard Sévigny » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Guillaume Rousseau » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Richmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.