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Monde·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Canada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader pricing reflects a tight three-way contest among the Coalition avenir Québec incumbent Donald Martel, Parti Québécois nominee Jérôme Gagnon, and Parti conservateur du Québec candidate Guillaume Langlois, with the Parti libéral du Québec’s Sophie Martinbeault trailing. August 2026 projections from 338Canada and Qc125 classify the seat as a toss-up, driven by transposed 2022 results showing CAQ strength eroding amid gains for PQ and CPQ amid broader provincial shifts in voter support. The May 2026 PQ nomination of Gagnon, a local economic development official backed by party members, consolidated opposition to the long-serving CAQ incumbent without major subsequent events altering momentum before the October 5 vote. Upcoming candidate nominations and any late polling shifts in Centre-du-Québec could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader pricing reflects a tight three-way contest among the Coalition avenir Québec incumbent Donald Martel, Parti Québécois nominee Jérôme Gagnon, and Parti conservateur du Québec candidate Guillaume Langlois, with the Parti libéral du Québec’s Sophie Martinbeault trailing. August 2026 projections from 338Canada and Qc125 classify the seat as a toss-up, driven by transposed 2022 results showing CAQ strength eroding amid gains for PQ and CPQ amid broader provincial shifts in voter support. The May 2026 PQ nomination of Gagnon, a local economic development official backed by party members, consolidated opposition to the long-serving CAQ incumbent without major subsequent events altering momentum before the October 5 vote. Upcoming candidate nominations and any late polling shifts in Centre-du-Québec could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Connexes

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44%
Oui
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Will Farnell Morisset win the next Taschereau Quebec National Assembly election?

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Guillaume Langlois » à 45%, suivi de « Jérôme Gagnon » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Guillaume Langlois » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jérôme Gagnon » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.