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Monde·Élections Mondiales

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Monde·Élections Mondiales

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Marc-Antoine Bernier 42%

Marcos Archambault 25%

Richard Bélanger 23%

Anne-Sophie Roy 22%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marc-Antoine Bernier 42%

Marcos Archambault 25%

Richard Bélanger 23%

Anne-Sophie Roy 22%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$6 Vol.

44%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the strongest position among candidates for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting trader consensus on provincial momentum favoring the PQ in the Capitale-Nationale region. The open seat, vacated by longtime CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features CAQ nominee Marc-Antoine Bernier alongside Liberal Richard Bélanger, Québec solidaire’s Anne-Sophie Roy, and Conservative Marcos Archambault. Recent candidate announcements, including Fauchon’s March 2026 nomination as an environmental and public-law attorney emphasizing housing, education, and francisation pressures, have aligned with polling trends showing PQ gains against a declining CAQ. First-past-the-post dynamics in this suburban Quebec City riding amplify small shifts in voter intention between the leading parties.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$6
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the strongest position among candidates for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting trader consensus on provincial momentum favoring the PQ in the Capitale-Nationale region. The open seat, vacated by longtime CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features CAQ nominee Marc-Antoine Bernier alongside Liberal Richard Bélanger, Québec solidaire’s Anne-Sophie Roy, and Conservative Marcos Archambault. Recent candidate announcements, including Fauchon’s March 2026 nomination as an environmental and public-law attorney emphasizing housing, education, and francisation pressures, have aligned with polling trends showing PQ gains against a declining CAQ. First-past-the-post dynamics in this suburban Quebec City riding amplify small shifts in voter intention between the leading parties.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$6
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Connexes

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Laurier-Dorion ?

Kelly Lazo de la Vega va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection de l'Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Laurier-Dorion ?

45%
Oui
icon for Claude Villeneuve remportera-t-il la prochaine élection de l’Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Jean-Lesage ?

Claude Villeneuve remportera-t-il la prochaine élection de l’Assemblée nationale du Québec dans Jean-Lesage ?

44%
Oui
icon for Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?

45%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chloé Fauchon » à 44%, suivi de « Marc-Antoine Bernier » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 31, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » est « Chloé Fauchon » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marc-Antoine Bernier » à 42%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.