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icon for Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ?
Politique·Suède

Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ?

icon for Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ?
Politique·Suède

Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ?

MP

42% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

MP

42% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Kristdemokraterna (KD) holding a modest edge over Miljöpartiet (MP) in projected vote shares, with the latest Demoskop survey placing KD at 7.5% and MP at 6.6%. Earlier Novus and Indikator readings from June and July similarly positioned the two parties within a narrow range, reflecting stable but low single-digit support amid a broader contest between the centre-left Red-Green bloc and the incumbent Tidö alliance. KD, as a governing partner, benefits from coalition visibility on family and social policy, while MP focuses on environmental priorities within the opposition. These patterns underpin trader assessments of KD's probability of outpolling MP on election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$700
Date de fin
13 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Kristdemokraterna (KD) holding a modest edge over Miljöpartiet (MP) in projected vote shares, with the latest Demoskop survey placing KD at 7.5% and MP at 6.6%. Earlier Novus and Indikator readings from June and July similarly positioned the two parties within a narrow range, reflecting stable but low single-digit support amid a broader contest between the centre-left Red-Green bloc and the incumbent Tidö alliance. KD, as a governing partner, benefits from coalition visibility on family and social policy, while MP focuses on environmental priorities within the opposition. These patterns underpin trader assessments of KD's probability of outpolling MP on election day.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.

This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.

Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$700
Date de fin
13 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election. This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election. This market will resolve 50-50 if both Green Party (MP) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election. This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party. Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Connexes

icon for Élection parlementaire suédoise : Plus de votes pour V ou KD ?

Élection parlementaire suédoise : Plus de votes pour V ou KD ?

53%
V
icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?

Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?

73%
C
icon for Élections parlementaires en Suède : Plus de voix pour MP ou C ?

Élections parlementaires en Suède : Plus de voix pour MP ou C ?

45%
MP

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Élections parlementaires en Suède : Plus de voix pour le MP ou le KD ? » à 42%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 42¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ? » est « Élections parlementaires en Suède : Plus de voix pour le MP ou le KD ? » à 42%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 42% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élections législatives suédoises : plus de voix au député ou au KD ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.