Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains one of the most reliably Republican districts in the country, with forecasters uniformly rating the November 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican. The open seat, created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid, features a crowded Republican primary on August 18 against just two Democratic primary contenders, reflecting limited opposition resources and organizational strength. Statewide voting patterns, including large GOP margins in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Republican probability. A major scandal involving the eventual GOP nominee or an unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre WY-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre WY-AL
$42,399 Vol.
$42,399 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
2%
$42,399 Vol.
$42,399 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$18,591 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$23,808 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains one of the most reliably Republican districts in the country, with forecasters uniformly rating the November 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican. The open seat, created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid, features a crowded Republican primary on August 18 against just two Democratic primary contenders, reflecting limited opposition resources and organizational strength. Statewide voting patterns, including large GOP margins in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Republican probability. A major scandal involving the eventual GOP nominee or an unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,399Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains one of the most reliably Republican districts in the country, with forecasters uniformly rating the November 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican. The open seat, created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid, features a crowded Republican primary on August 18 against just two Democratic primary contenders, reflecting limited opposition resources and organizational strength. Statewide voting patterns, including large GOP margins in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Republican probability. A major scandal involving the eventual GOP nominee or an unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,399Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming’s at-large House seat remains one of the most reliably Republican districts in the country, with forecasters uniformly rating the November 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican. The open seat, created by incumbent Harriet Hageman’s Senate bid, features a crowded Republican primary on August 18 against just two Democratic primary contenders, reflecting limited opposition resources and organizational strength. Statewide voting patterns, including large GOP margins in recent presidential and congressional contests, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 94 percent Republican probability. A major scandal involving the eventual GOP nominee or an unexpected surge in Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in this environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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