Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in California's 49th congressional district, where the seat leans Democratic by several points and has returned him to office in each of the prior four cycles. Recent campaign finance reports show Levin maintaining a substantial cash advantage over the two Republicans who filed for the June 2 primary, while independent ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent because the district's voter registration edge and Levin's record on coastal issues have produced consistent margins. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or a late national swing large enough to overcome the structural Democratic tilt before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-49 House Election Winner
CA-49 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,107 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$742 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in California's 49th congressional district, where the seat leans Democratic by several points and has returned him to office in each of the prior four cycles. Recent campaign finance reports show Levin maintaining a substantial cash advantage over the two Republicans who filed for the June 2 primary, while independent ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent because the district's voter registration edge and Levin's record on coastal issues have produced consistent margins. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or a late national swing large enough to overcome the structural Democratic tilt before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,848समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in California's 49th congressional district, where the seat leans Democratic by several points and has returned him to office in each of the prior four cycles. Recent campaign finance reports show Levin maintaining a substantial cash advantage over the two Republicans who filed for the June 2 primary, while independent ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent because the district's voter registration edge and Levin's record on coastal issues have produced consistent margins. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or a late national swing large enough to overcome the structural Democratic tilt before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,848समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in California's 49th congressional district, where the seat leans Democratic by several points and has returned him to office in each of the prior four cycles. Recent campaign finance reports show Levin maintaining a substantial cash advantage over the two Republicans who filed for the June 2 primary, while independent ratings from the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Democratic. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent because the district's voter registration edge and Levin's record on coastal issues have produced consistent margins. A realistic shift would require either an unusually strong Republican general-election candidate or a late national swing large enough to overcome the structural Democratic tilt before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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