Incumbent Republican Chris Smith’s long tenure and the district’s R+14 partisan lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Smith, first elected in 1980 and one of the most senior House members, faced no serious primary opposition while Democrat Rachel Peace advanced from her June 2, 2026 primary in a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s voter registration favor continuity absent major disruption before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ-04 House Election Winner
NJ-04 House Election Winner
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
नया
नया
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$5,448 वॉल्यूम
94%
Democratic Party
$4,026 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chris Smith’s long tenure and the district’s R+14 partisan lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Smith, first elected in 1980 and one of the most senior House members, faced no serious primary opposition while Democrat Rachel Peace advanced from her June 2, 2026 primary in a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s voter registration favor continuity absent major disruption before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,474समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Chris Smith’s long tenure and the district’s R+14 partisan lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Smith, first elected in 1980 and one of the most senior House members, faced no serious primary opposition while Democrat Rachel Peace advanced from her June 2, 2026 primary in a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s voter registration favor continuity absent major disruption before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,474समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Chris Smith’s long tenure and the district’s R+14 partisan lean drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. Smith, first elected in 1980 and one of the most senior House members, faced no serious primary opposition while Democrat Rachel Peace advanced from her June 2, 2026 primary in a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s voter registration favor continuity absent major disruption before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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