**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
19%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,966 वॉल्यूम
78%
Republican Party
$214 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,180समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,180समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a clear edge in the NY-03 race due to his moderate profile, strong fundraising, and the district’s Lean Democratic rating from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** The North Shore Long Island and northeast Queens seat, which Trump carried in 2024, remains competitive in the midterm cycle, yet Suozzi’s 2024 general-election win and cash-on-hand advantage position Democrats as the consensus favorite at 55.5 percent. Republicans, with Michael LiPetri Jr. favored in their June 23 primary, face an uphill path despite targeting the district. The upcoming primaries and general-election dynamics on November 3 continue to shape trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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