**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMara Rocha 47%
Marcio Bittar 32.1%
Gladson Camelí 14%
Jorge Viana 4.3%
$44,542 Vol.
$44,542 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Mara Rocha
47%
Marcio Bittar
33%
Gladson Camelí
14%
Jorge Viana
4%
Petecão
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Mara Rocha 47%
Marcio Bittar 32.1%
Gladson Camelí 14%
Jorge Viana 4.3%
$44,542 Vol.
$44,542 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Mara Rocha
$17,613 Vol.
47%
Marcio Bittar
$8,148 Vol.
33%
Gladson Camelí
$13,335 Vol.
14%
Jorge Viana
$1,344 Vol.
4%
Petecão
$1,871 Vol.
1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$738 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$786 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.**
Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders.
Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$44,542Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.**
Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders.
Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$44,542Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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