Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow after the preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C (57% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible alternatives given typical 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat effects. Historical climatology shows early August averages near 21–22°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth that is moderating. Short-range forecasts exhibit limited model divergence, keeping trader sentiment tightly clustered around these thresholds as resolution nears via official KNMI observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
25°C 58%
26°C 24%
24°C 19%
23°C 1.0%
BARU
$32,687 Vol.
BARU
$32,687 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
19%
25°C
58%
26°C
24%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 58%
26°C 24%
24°C 19%
23°C 1.0%
BARU
$32,687 Vol.
BARU
$32,687 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,639 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,742 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,616 Vol.
19%
25°C
$4,478 Vol.
58%
26°C
$4,521 Vol.
24%
27°C
$1,782 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$566 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow after the preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C (57% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible alternatives given typical 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat effects. Historical climatology shows early August averages near 21–22°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth that is moderating. Short-range forecasts exhibit limited model divergence, keeping trader sentiment tightly clustered around these thresholds as resolution nears via official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$32,687Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow after the preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C (57% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible alternatives given typical 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat effects. Historical climatology shows early August averages near 21–22°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth that is moderating. Short-range forecasts exhibit limited model divergence, keeping trader sentiment tightly clustered around these thresholds as resolution nears via official KNMI observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,687Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow after the preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C (57% implied probability) as the leading outcome, with 24°C and 26°C as plausible alternatives given typical 1–2°C uncertainty from local factors such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat effects. Historical climatology shows early August averages near 21–22°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth that is moderating. Short-range forecasts exhibit limited model divergence, keeping trader sentiment tightly clustered around these thresholds as resolution nears via official KNMI observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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