Trader consensus has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 with near-certainty, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional showing stable high-pressure conditions and maximum readings capped at that level. Current observations indicate cooler-than-average autumn air masses advected by southerly winds under clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily maxima typically fall between 12–18°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified model runs showing minimal diurnal warming and no significant northerly moisture influx. An unexpected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island intensification could still shift the final recorded maximum, though upcoming observational updates from official stations are expected to confirm the current trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,708 Vol.
$37,708 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,708 Vol.
$37,708 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17 with near-certainty, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional showing stable high-pressure conditions and maximum readings capped at that level. Current observations indicate cooler-than-average autumn air masses advected by southerly winds under clear skies, consistent with May climatology where daily maxima typically fall between 12–18°C. This market-implied outcome aligns with verified model runs showing minimal diurnal warming and no significant northerly moisture influx. An unexpected frontal passage or localized urban heat-island intensification could still shift the final recorded maximum, though upcoming observational updates from official stations are expected to confirm the current trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan