Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14°C at the official observation site under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% for the 14°C outcome. Historical analogs for mid-May in Buenos Aires show similar cool episodes following cold fronts, with limited potential for rapid warming under stable high pressure. Traders appear to view any upward revision in the final official reading as unlikely given the current model consensus, though late-day clearing or minor forecast adjustments could still produce a 15°C reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,307 Vol.
$38,307 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$38,307 Vol.
$38,307 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZRecent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional place the daytime maximum near 14°C at the official observation site under partly cloudy conditions and moderate southerly flow. This post-frontal air mass has suppressed temperatures 2–3°C below the May climatological average of 17–18°C, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% for the 14°C outcome. Historical analogs for mid-May in Buenos Aires show similar cool episodes following cold fronts, with limited potential for rapid warming under stable high pressure. Traders appear to view any upward revision in the final official reading as unlikely given the current model consensus, though late-day clearing or minor forecast adjustments could still produce a 15°C reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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