Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,683 Vol.
$19,683 Vol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,683 Vol.
$19,683 Vol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$534 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,433 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,203 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,890 Vol.
100%
21°C
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,617 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,737 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$924 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$19,683Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,683Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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