Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
20°C 12.1%
23°C 11%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
43%
22°C
33%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
20°C 12.1%
23°C 11%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$342 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$869 Vol.
1%
19°C
$791 Vol.
2%
20°C
$670 Vol.
12%
21°C
$1,770 Vol.
43%
22°C
$985 Vol.
33%
23°C
$1,336 Vol.
11%
24°C
$899 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$391 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,099Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,099Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Cape Town on May 18 most likely between 21°C and 22°C, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure limiting strong cold-air advection from the Southern Ocean while allowing moderate solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global systems shows tight clustering around these values, with historical mid-May climatology placing the long-term average maximum near 19°C. Small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes and the rapid repricing expected with the next model cycle.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan