Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 17?
86-87°F 43%
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 8%
92°F or higher 1.4%
$51,002 Vol.
$51,002 Vol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
43%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
8%
92°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 43%
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 8%
92°F or higher 1.4%
$51,002 Vol.
$51,002 Vol.
May 17, 2026
73°F or below
$13,405 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,233 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$3,904 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,123 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,359 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,464 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,471 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,540 Vol.
43%
88-89°F
$2,998 Vol.
43%
90-91°F
$2,926 Vol.
8%
92°F or higher
$5,118 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$51,002Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,002Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models point to a Dallas high temperature near 86–88°F on May 17, driving the near-even market-implied odds between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F outcomes. Southerly winds around 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity levels are the key variables that could push the afternoon peak one bin higher or keep it in the mid-80s, depending on how quickly daytime heating develops under the current subtropical ridge. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs of 85°F with a standard deviation of roughly 4–5°F, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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