BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus for May 17 indicate a daily maximum of 32°C at Jakarta’s Halim Perdanakusuma station, supported by moderate humidity levels, suppressed afternoon convection, and stable low-level steering flows typical of the early dry-season transition. This aligns with May climatology, where regional highs average 32–34°C under partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds. Traders have priced the 32°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting confidence in current observational trends and limited model spread. A sudden increase in convective activity or a shift in sea-breeze circulation could still push readings to 33°C before the daily peak is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$74,299 Vol.
$74,299 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$74,299 Vol.
$74,299 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHBMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus for May 17 indicate a daily maximum of 32°C at Jakarta’s Halim Perdanakusuma station, supported by moderate humidity levels, suppressed afternoon convection, and stable low-level steering flows typical of the early dry-season transition. This aligns with May climatology, where regional highs average 32–34°C under partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds. Traders have priced the 32°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting confidence in current observational trends and limited model spread. A sudden increase in convective activity or a shift in sea-breeze circulation could still push readings to 33°C before the daily peak is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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