India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,820 Vol.
$38,820 Vol.
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,820 Vol.
$38,820 Vol.
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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