PAGASA’s extended outlook for May 17 projects a Metro Manila high of 33 °C under partly cloudy skies with only a 20 % chance of isolated showers, yet trader consensus currently centers on 35 °C as the most likely peak. Recent days have seen afternoon readings of 34–35 °C across the urban heat island, where concrete and reduced ventilation often add 1–2 °C above official station values recorded at Science Garden. The easterly flow and lingering frontal influence over northern Luzon introduce modest cooling potential, but model runs still allow brief clearing that could push the mercury to 36 °C before any sea-breeze or convective cooling develops. This narrow spread among 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact timing of cloud cover and the strength of the urban heat effect relative to climatological May averages near 34 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
35°C 41%
34°C 36%
36°C 19.1%
33°C 6.0%
$14,367 Vol.
$14,367 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
30%
35°C
41%
36°C
19%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
34°C 36%
36°C 19.1%
33°C 6.0%
$14,367 Vol.
$14,367 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
30%
35°C
41%
36°C
19%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLPAGASA’s extended outlook for May 17 projects a Metro Manila high of 33 °C under partly cloudy skies with only a 20 % chance of isolated showers, yet trader consensus currently centers on 35 °C as the most likely peak. Recent days have seen afternoon readings of 34–35 °C across the urban heat island, where concrete and reduced ventilation often add 1–2 °C above official station values recorded at Science Garden. The easterly flow and lingering frontal influence over northern Luzon introduce modest cooling potential, but model runs still allow brief clearing that could push the mercury to 36 °C before any sea-breeze or convective cooling develops. This narrow spread among 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact timing of cloud cover and the strength of the urban heat effect relative to climatological May averages near 34 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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