Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates August temperatures, with the rainy season typically producing afternoon cloud cover and showers that cap daily maxima near historical averages of 24–25°C. Numerical weather model consensus for August 16, 2026, positions the peak around 25–26°C amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions and a 40–60% chance of precipitation, aligning with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Recent forecast updates from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate show highs of 77–79°F (25–26°C) without signals of unusual warming or clearing skies that would push readings to 27°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of deviation from the narrow 25–27°C window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
26°C 55%
25°C 23%
27°C 21%
24°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
23%
26°C
55%
27°C
21%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
25°C 23%
27°C 21%
24°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$521 Vol.
1%
24°C
$232 Vol.
3%
25°C
$572 Vol.
23%
26°C
$486 Vol.
55%
27°C
$250 Vol.
21%
28°C
$232 Vol.
3%
29°C
$53 Vol.
1%
30°C
$62 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates August temperatures, with the rainy season typically producing afternoon cloud cover and showers that cap daily maxima near historical averages of 24–25°C. Numerical weather model consensus for August 16, 2026, positions the peak around 25–26°C amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions and a 40–60% chance of precipitation, aligning with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Recent forecast updates from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate show highs of 77–79°F (25–26°C) without signals of unusual warming or clearing skies that would push readings to 27°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of deviation from the narrow 25–27°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,557Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates August temperatures, with the rainy season typically producing afternoon cloud cover and showers that cap daily maxima near historical averages of 24–25°C. Numerical weather model consensus for August 16, 2026, positions the peak around 25–26°C amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions and a 40–60% chance of precipitation, aligning with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Recent forecast updates from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate show highs of 77–79°F (25–26°C) without signals of unusual warming or clearing skies that would push readings to 27°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of deviation from the narrow 25–27°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,557Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation setting at roughly 2,240 meters above sea level moderates August temperatures, with the rainy season typically producing afternoon cloud cover and showers that cap daily maxima near historical averages of 24–25°C. Numerical weather model consensus for August 16, 2026, positions the peak around 25–26°C amid partly cloudy to overcast conditions and a 40–60% chance of precipitation, aligning with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Recent forecast updates from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate show highs of 77–79°F (25–26°C) without signals of unusual warming or clearing skies that would push readings to 27°C or higher. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and the low likelihood of deviation from the narrow 25–27°C window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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