Recent European weather model consensus, including outputs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service, points to stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley driving Milan’s daytime high to 21°C on May 17. Clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture advection support gradual afternoon warming that aligns closely with the seasonal climatological average near 22°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger thermal mixing. This setup explains the overwhelming trader preference for the 21°C outcome at current implied odds. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover could cap the maximum a degree lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given the latest observational data and short-range forecast guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 17?
21°C 99.0%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$41,590 Vol.
$41,590 Vol.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.0%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
22°C <1%
$41,590 Vol.
$41,590 Vol.
May 17, 2026
15°C or below
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,526 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,575 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,468 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$7,419 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,961 Vol.
99%
22°C
$6,173 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,575 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,063 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,999 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European weather model consensus, including outputs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service, points to stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley driving Milan’s daytime high to 21°C on May 17. Clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture advection support gradual afternoon warming that aligns closely with the seasonal climatological average near 22°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger thermal mixing. This setup explains the overwhelming trader preference for the 21°C outcome at current implied odds. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover could cap the maximum a degree lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given the latest observational data and short-range forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$41,590Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European weather model consensus, including outputs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service, points to stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley driving Milan’s daytime high to 21°C on May 17. Clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture advection support gradual afternoon warming that aligns closely with the seasonal climatological average near 22°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger thermal mixing. This setup explains the overwhelming trader preference for the 21°C outcome at current implied odds. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover could cap the maximum a degree lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given the latest observational data and short-range forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,590Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent European weather model consensus, including outputs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service, points to stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley driving Milan’s daytime high to 21°C on May 17. Clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture advection support gradual afternoon warming that aligns closely with the seasonal climatological average near 22°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger thermal mixing. This setup explains the overwhelming trader preference for the 21°C outcome at current implied odds. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover could cap the maximum a degree lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given the latest observational data and short-range forecast guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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