Recent European model runs from the ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 20–21 °C under a stable high-pressure system, mild spring flow, light variable winds, and limited daytime cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the May climatological average of roughly 22 °C for the Po Valley and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C buckets. Ensemble spreads highlight modest sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and exact solar heating, keeping outcomes between 19 °C and 22 °C within a few percentage points of one another. Updated model guidance and official observations recorded at Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on May 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 18?
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 20%
22°C 12%
BARU
$11,725 Vol.
BARU
$11,725 Vol.
May 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 20%
22°C 12%
BARU
$11,725 Vol.
BARU
$11,725 Vol.
May 18, 2026
16°C or below
$671 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$912 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,291 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,175 Vol.
20%
20°C
$1,360 Vol.
35%
21°C
$1,044 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,151 Vol.
12%
23°C
$1,229 Vol.
3%
24°C
$863 Vol.
1%
25°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$528 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model runs from the ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 20–21 °C under a stable high-pressure system, mild spring flow, light variable winds, and limited daytime cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the May climatological average of roughly 22 °C for the Po Valley and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C buckets. Ensemble spreads highlight modest sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and exact solar heating, keeping outcomes between 19 °C and 22 °C within a few percentage points of one another. Updated model guidance and official observations recorded at Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$11,725Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model runs from the ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 20–21 °C under a stable high-pressure system, mild spring flow, light variable winds, and limited daytime cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the May climatological average of roughly 22 °C for the Po Valley and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C buckets. Ensemble spreads highlight modest sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and exact solar heating, keeping outcomes between 19 °C and 22 °C within a few percentage points of one another. Updated model guidance and official observations recorded at Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,725Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent European model runs from the ECMWF and GFS place Milan’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 20–21 °C under a stable high-pressure system, mild spring flow, light variable winds, and limited daytime cloud cover. These conditions align closely with the May climatological average of roughly 22 °C for the Po Valley and explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C buckets. Ensemble spreads highlight modest sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and exact solar heating, keeping outcomes between 19 °C and 22 °C within a few percentage points of one another. Updated model guidance and official observations recorded at Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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