Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
BARU
$10,556 Vol.
BARU
$10,556 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
30%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 32%
28°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 15%
BARU
$10,556 Vol.
BARU
$10,556 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$870 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,494 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,610 Vol.
1%
26°C
$598 Vol.
4%
27°C
$498 Vol.
15%
28°C
$689 Vol.
30%
29°C
$518 Vol.
32%
30°C
$405 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$1,194 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,556Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,556Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from European and global models indicates Moscow will experience a warm air mass advection ahead of a slow-moving high-pressure ridge on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near 27–29 °C at VDNKh station. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes favored because boundary-layer mixing and insolation under mostly clear skies are projected to peak just below 30 °C. Minor downward revisions in some runs stem from possible late-day cloud cover or a slightly stronger northerly component in the steering flow, while a modest chance of 30 °C or higher persists if daytime heating exceeds model assumptions. These tight probabilities reflect the inherent uncertainty in maximum-temperature resolution when observed values fall within a 2–3 °C envelope of the climatological upper tail for mid-May.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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