Recent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
BARU
$13,031 Vol.
BARU
$13,031 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
12%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
3%
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
BARU
$13,031 Vol.
BARU
$13,031 Vol.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$936 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$818 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,800 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$695 Vol.
2%
27°C
$541 Vol.
12%
28°C
$749 Vol.
27%
29°C
$584 Vol.
33%
30°C
$473 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$1,624 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,031Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,031Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent model runs from Russian and European meteorological centers indicate a high-pressure ridge over the East European Plain will support strong daytime insolation and light winds across Moscow on May 18, favoring a daily maximum near 28–29 °C at the VDNKh reference station. Ensemble spreads remain modest because boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover are the dominant uncertainties; a modest increase in low-level humidity or thin cirrus could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower, while drier northerly flow would allow readings to reach 30 °C. These factors explain the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 28–29 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to more extreme departures from the current forecast consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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