**Persistent heatwave conditions across Shandong province, reinforced by an official High Temperature Orange Warning from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory issued August 1, position 36°C or higher as the leading outcome for Qingdao’s maximum temperature on August 5.** The alert specifically forecasts 37–39°C across northern Qingdao through August 5 (with localized potential above 40°C), driven by a strong high-pressure system trapping warm, humid air (relative humidity 50–80%) and limiting cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. This aligns with observed recent highs near or above 35°C in the region and exceeds typical early-August climatology of ~29–31°C. Model consensus and the warning’s multi-day duration elevate the market-implied probability for 36°C+, while the smaller shares for 35°C and below reflect residual uncertainty from coastal effects or minor forecast revisions. Official agency data continue to anchor trader sentiment ahead of daily peak observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
36°C or higher 71%
35°C 19%
34°C 7%
33°C 2%
BARU
$21,032 Vol.
BARU
$21,032 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
19%
36°C or higher
71%
36°C or higher 71%
35°C 19%
34°C 7%
33°C 2%
BARU
$21,032 Vol.
BARU
$21,032 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,006 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,330 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,502 Vol.
7%
35°C
$5,893 Vol.
19%
36°C or higher
$6,543 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heatwave conditions across Shandong province, reinforced by an official High Temperature Orange Warning from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory issued August 1, position 36°C or higher as the leading outcome for Qingdao’s maximum temperature on August 5.**
The alert specifically forecasts 37–39°C across northern Qingdao through August 5 (with localized potential above 40°C), driven by a strong high-pressure system trapping warm, humid air (relative humidity 50–80%) and limiting cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. This aligns with observed recent highs near or above 35°C in the region and exceeds typical early-August climatology of ~29–31°C.
Model consensus and the warning’s multi-day duration elevate the market-implied probability for 36°C+, while the smaller shares for 35°C and below reflect residual uncertainty from coastal effects or minor forecast revisions. Official agency data continue to anchor trader sentiment ahead of daily peak observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$21,032Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heatwave conditions across Shandong province, reinforced by an official High Temperature Orange Warning from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory issued August 1, position 36°C or higher as the leading outcome for Qingdao’s maximum temperature on August 5.**
The alert specifically forecasts 37–39°C across northern Qingdao through August 5 (with localized potential above 40°C), driven by a strong high-pressure system trapping warm, humid air (relative humidity 50–80%) and limiting cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. This aligns with observed recent highs near or above 35°C in the region and exceeds typical early-August climatology of ~29–31°C.
Model consensus and the warning’s multi-day duration elevate the market-implied probability for 36°C+, while the smaller shares for 35°C and below reflect residual uncertainty from coastal effects or minor forecast revisions. Official agency data continue to anchor trader sentiment ahead of daily peak observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,032Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heatwave conditions across Shandong province, reinforced by an official High Temperature Orange Warning from the Shandong Meteorological Observatory issued August 1, position 36°C or higher as the leading outcome for Qingdao’s maximum temperature on August 5.** The alert specifically forecasts 37–39°C across northern Qingdao through August 5 (with localized potential above 40°C), driven by a strong high-pressure system trapping warm, humid air (relative humidity 50–80%) and limiting cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation. This aligns with observed recent highs near or above 35°C in the region and exceeds typical early-August climatology of ~29–31°C. Model consensus and the warning’s multi-day duration elevate the market-implied probability for 36°C+, while the smaller shares for 35°C and below reflect residual uncertainty from coastal effects or minor forecast revisions. Official agency data continue to anchor trader sentiment ahead of daily peak observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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