The market's overwhelming consensus on a 64–65°F high for San Francisco on May 15 reflects National Weather Service observations at key stations, including San Francisco International Airport, confirming a peak temperature locked in that narrow band. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific kept daytime warming suppressed, consistent with the city’s spring climatology where highs average near 64°F under typical coastal conditions. Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs showed strong agreement on this outcome through the preceding 48 hours, with no sign of the clear skies or offshore winds needed to push readings to 66°F or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in the sea-breeze regime or a rare warm-air advection event, neither of which appeared in final verified data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$38,904 Vol.
$38,904 Vol.
May 15, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$38,904 Vol.
$38,904 Vol.
May 15, 2026
47°F or below
$982 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$900 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$553 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,088 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$3,250 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,939 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,192 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,116 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,639 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$12,363 Vol.
Yes
66°F or higher
$10,883 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 64–65°F high for San Francisco on May 15 reflects National Weather Service observations at key stations, including San Francisco International Airport, confirming a peak temperature locked in that narrow band. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific kept daytime warming suppressed, consistent with the city’s spring climatology where highs average near 64°F under typical coastal conditions. Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs showed strong agreement on this outcome through the preceding 48 hours, with no sign of the clear skies or offshore winds needed to push readings to 66°F or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in the sea-breeze regime or a rare warm-air advection event, neither of which appeared in final verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$38,904Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 64–65°F high for San Francisco on May 15 reflects National Weather Service observations at key stations, including San Francisco International Airport, confirming a peak temperature locked in that narrow band. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific kept daytime warming suppressed, consistent with the city’s spring climatology where highs average near 64°F under typical coastal conditions. Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs showed strong agreement on this outcome through the preceding 48 hours, with no sign of the clear skies or offshore winds needed to push readings to 66°F or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in the sea-breeze regime or a rare warm-air advection event, neither of which appeared in final verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,904Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The market's overwhelming consensus on a 64–65°F high for San Francisco on May 15 reflects National Weather Service observations at key stations, including San Francisco International Airport, confirming a peak temperature locked in that narrow band. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific kept daytime warming suppressed, consistent with the city’s spring climatology where highs average near 64°F under typical coastal conditions. Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs showed strong agreement on this outcome through the preceding 48 hours, with no sign of the clear skies or offshore winds needed to push readings to 66°F or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in the sea-breeze regime or a rare warm-air advection event, neither of which appeared in final verified data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan