Recent surface observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration, or KMA, combined with numerical weather prediction guidance, have driven trader consensus toward a 25°C daily maximum in Seoul on May 17, producing the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Clear skies and a light southerly flow have allowed afternoon temperatures to stabilize near this threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology for the region where average highs range from 23–27°C. Official resolution will hinge on the single highest reading recorded at the Incheon International Airport station. A modest northward shift in the steering pattern or delayed cloud cover could push the peak slightly higher, while an earlier sea breeze or measurement timing variance remains the main realistic path to a different bracket.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$230,965 Vol.
$230,965 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$230,965 Vol.
$230,965 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$7,794 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,507 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,963 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$10,880 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15,133 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$22,532 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28,364 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$28,287 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$23,626 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$26,281 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$51,637 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent surface observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration, or KMA, combined with numerical weather prediction guidance, have driven trader consensus toward a 25°C daily maximum in Seoul on May 17, producing the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Clear skies and a light southerly flow have allowed afternoon temperatures to stabilize near this threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology for the region where average highs range from 23–27°C. Official resolution will hinge on the single highest reading recorded at the Incheon International Airport station. A modest northward shift in the steering pattern or delayed cloud cover could push the peak slightly higher, while an earlier sea breeze or measurement timing variance remains the main realistic path to a different bracket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$230,965Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent surface observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration, or KMA, combined with numerical weather prediction guidance, have driven trader consensus toward a 25°C daily maximum in Seoul on May 17, producing the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Clear skies and a light southerly flow have allowed afternoon temperatures to stabilize near this threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology for the region where average highs range from 23–27°C. Official resolution will hinge on the single highest reading recorded at the Incheon International Airport station. A modest northward shift in the steering pattern or delayed cloud cover could push the peak slightly higher, while an earlier sea breeze or measurement timing variance remains the main realistic path to a different bracket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$230,965Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent surface observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration, or KMA, combined with numerical weather prediction guidance, have driven trader consensus toward a 25°C daily maximum in Seoul on May 17, producing the market-implied 100% probability for that outcome. Clear skies and a light southerly flow have allowed afternoon temperatures to stabilize near this threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology for the region where average highs range from 23–27°C. Official resolution will hinge on the single highest reading recorded at the Incheon International Airport station. A modest northward shift in the steering pattern or delayed cloud cover could push the peak slightly higher, while an earlier sea breeze or measurement timing variance remains the main realistic path to a different bracket.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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