Recent cold air advection from the north, interacting with lingering moisture, has driven a notable cooldown across northern China through September 8, setting up variable overnight radiative cooling for Beijing on the 9th. Official guidance points to clearing skies and light winds favoring lows near 15–17°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 September 9 average of 17.5°C, though ensemble spreads and potential for patchy cloud or stronger northerly flow introduce uncertainty around the precise minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities across 10–19°C bins alongside elevated odds on 9°C or below, captures this forecast dispersion and the limited time remaining for model convergence before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
9°C or below 69%
19°C or higher 59%
14°C 50%
10°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
9°C or below
69%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
27%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 69%
19°C or higher 59%
14°C 50%
10°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north, interacting with lingering moisture, has driven a notable cooldown across northern China through September 8, setting up variable overnight radiative cooling for Beijing on the 9th. Official guidance points to clearing skies and light winds favoring lows near 15–17°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 September 9 average of 17.5°C, though ensemble spreads and potential for patchy cloud or stronger northerly flow introduce uncertainty around the precise minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities across 10–19°C bins alongside elevated odds on 9°C or below, captures this forecast dispersion and the limited time remaining for model convergence before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection from the north, interacting with lingering moisture, has driven a notable cooldown across northern China through September 8, setting up variable overnight radiative cooling for Beijing on the 9th. Official guidance points to clearing skies and light winds favoring lows near 15–17°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 September 9 average of 17.5°C, though ensemble spreads and potential for patchy cloud or stronger northerly flow introduce uncertainty around the precise minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities across 10–19°C bins alongside elevated odds on 9°C or below, captures this forecast dispersion and the limited time remaining for model convergence before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection from the north, interacting with lingering moisture, has driven a notable cooldown across northern China through September 8, setting up variable overnight radiative cooling for Beijing on the 9th. Official guidance points to clearing skies and light winds favoring lows near 15–17°C, aligning with the 1991–2020 September 9 average of 17.5°C, though ensemble spreads and potential for patchy cloud or stronger northerly flow introduce uncertainty around the precise minimum. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities across 10–19°C bins alongside elevated odds on 9°C or below, captures this forecast dispersion and the limited time remaining for model convergence before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan