Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 20?
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$3,121 Vol.
$3,121 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
10°C or below 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$3,121 Vol.
$3,121 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
No
11°C
$0 Vol.
No
12°C
$0 Vol.
No
13°C
$682 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$245 Vol.
No
15°C
$250 Vol.
No
16°C
$392 Vol.
No
17°C
$37 Vol.
No
18°C
$37 Vol.
No
19°C
$37 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$1,441 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,121Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,121Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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