Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 20, 2026, will likely fall in the mid- to upper-20s°C range, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity levels near 70-90%, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and scattered precipitation chances further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface. Historical September lows average around 24°C, but current model consensus points to warmer conditions than climatology due to limited frontal activity. The near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty in exact overnight minima and resolution criteria, with traders weighing model spreads on humidity and cloud timing against the low probability of extreme deviations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 20?
21°C or below 93%
31°C or higher 92%
27°C 40%
23°C 39%
21°C or below
93%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
92%
21°C or below 93%
31°C or higher 92%
27°C 40%
23°C 39%
21°C or below
93%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 20, 2026, will likely fall in the mid- to upper-20s°C range, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity levels near 70-90%, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and scattered precipitation chances further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface. Historical September lows average around 24°C, but current model consensus points to warmer conditions than climatology due to limited frontal activity. The near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty in exact overnight minima and resolution criteria, with traders weighing model spreads on humidity and cloud timing against the low probability of extreme deviations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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