**Clear skies and northeasterly winds are positioning Istanbul’s September 9 minimum near 21°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 73% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows stabilizing around 19–22°C under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and light to moderate NE flow limiting radiative cooling. This matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima average near 20°C. Recent observations confirm daytime peaks of 25–28°C dropping steadily overnight without cold-air advection or frontal passages. Lower-probability outcomes like 19°C gain traction only if winds weaken further or if localized urban heat-island effects are offset by clearer radiational cooling than currently modeled. Final station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period is complete.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
21°C 95%
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
73%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 95%
20°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$92 Vol.
1%
17°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$54 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$40 Vol.
26%
20°C
$30 Vol.
2%
21°C
$217 Vol.
73%
22°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and northeasterly winds are positioning Istanbul’s September 9 minimum near 21°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 73% implied probability for that exact outcome.**
Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows stabilizing around 19–22°C under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and light to moderate NE flow limiting radiative cooling. This matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima average near 20°C. Recent observations confirm daytime peaks of 25–28°C dropping steadily overnight without cold-air advection or frontal passages. Lower-probability outcomes like 19°C gain traction only if winds weaken further or if localized urban heat-island effects are offset by clearer radiational cooling than currently modeled. Final station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,696Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and northeasterly winds are positioning Istanbul’s September 9 minimum near 21°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 73% implied probability for that exact outcome.**
Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows stabilizing around 19–22°C under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and light to moderate NE flow limiting radiative cooling. This matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima average near 20°C. Recent observations confirm daytime peaks of 25–28°C dropping steadily overnight without cold-air advection or frontal passages. Lower-probability outcomes like 19°C gain traction only if winds weaken further or if localized urban heat-island effects are offset by clearer radiational cooling than currently modeled. Final station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,696Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and northeasterly winds are positioning Istanbul’s September 9 minimum near 21°C, aligning with the market’s dominant 73% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows stabilizing around 19–22°C under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and light to moderate NE flow limiting radiative cooling. This matches typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily minima average near 20°C. Recent observations confirm daytime peaks of 25–28°C dropping steadily overnight without cold-air advection or frontal passages. Lower-probability outcomes like 19°C gain traction only if winds weaken further or if localized urban heat-island effects are offset by clearer radiational cooling than currently modeled. Final station readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period is complete.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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