**Current official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and high pressure, consistent with typical early-September conditions.** Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C as the peak, likely reflecting model spread, potential for slight under-forecasting at official stations, or the narrow resolution window for the exact daily maximum. Recent observations show stable, dry anticyclonic weather with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to alter temperatures before the date. Upcoming model runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities if they trend cooler or warmer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 9?
25°C 54%
24°C 37%
26°C 37%
23°C 36%
21°C or below
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
36%
24°C
37%
25°C
54%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
25°C 54%
24°C 37%
26°C 37%
23°C 36%
21°C or below
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
36%
24°C
37%
25°C
54%
26°C
37%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 9 under mostly sunny skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and high pressure, consistent with typical early-September conditions.** Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C as the peak, likely reflecting model spread, potential for slight under-forecasting at official stations, or the narrow resolution window for the exact daily maximum. Recent observations show stable, dry anticyclonic weather with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity expected to alter temperatures before the date. Upcoming model runs from agencies such as ECMWF and GFS will provide the key updates that could shift implied probabilities if they trend cooler or warmer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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