**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 27°C low in Lucknow on August 29, 2026, with market-implied odds at 79%.** Persistent monsoon cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall—totaling over 27 mm in the past 24 hours at Amausi Airport—have suppressed radiative cooling overnight, maintaining elevated minimum temperatures near or above 26–27°C according to India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts. The official IMD bulletin projects a 27°C minimum for the date, consistent with above-normal nighttime readings across Uttar Pradesh amid the active monsoon. Recent hourly data showing lows holding around 26–27°C and high humidity (85–96%) reinforce this consensus, while lower outcomes like 25°C or below carry limited probability given the current atmospheric conditions and forecast model alignment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 29?
27°C 72%
26°C 48%
25°C 5%
24°C 4%
$1,394 Vol.
$1,394 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
79%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 72%
26°C 48%
25°C 5%
24°C 4%
$1,394 Vol.
$1,394 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
48%
27°C
79%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 27°C low in Lucknow on August 29, 2026, with market-implied odds at 79%.** Persistent monsoon cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall—totaling over 27 mm in the past 24 hours at Amausi Airport—have suppressed radiative cooling overnight, maintaining elevated minimum temperatures near or above 26–27°C according to India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations and forecasts. The official IMD bulletin projects a 27°C minimum for the date, consistent with above-normal nighttime readings across Uttar Pradesh amid the active monsoon. Recent hourly data showing lows holding around 26–27°C and high humidity (85–96%) reinforce this consensus, while lower outcomes like 25°C or below carry limited probability given the current atmospheric conditions and forecast model alignment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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