**Persistent showery conditions and model spread in overnight minimums are keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 14–18°C for Milan’s September 17 low.** Easterly flow, high humidity (80–92%), and widespread light rain or thunderstorms have suppressed radiative cooling, with hourly guidance from multiple sources showing temperatures bottoming near 17–18°C after midnight before any further dip. This aligns with September climatology (typical low ~16°C) while recent model runs diverge on the exact timing and intensity of clearing, creating the near-even odds between 18°C (51%) and the 14–17°C cluster. Official resolution will hinge on the final 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations, with any late-evening stabilization or additional showers the key variables that could shift the outcome within the narrow implied-probability band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on September 17?
14°C 100%
15°C 92%
18°C 51%
16°C 50%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
92%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
51%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100%
15°C 92%
18°C 51%
16°C 50%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
92%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
51%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent showery conditions and model spread in overnight minimums are keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 14–18°C for Milan’s September 17 low.** Easterly flow, high humidity (80–92%), and widespread light rain or thunderstorms have suppressed radiative cooling, with hourly guidance from multiple sources showing temperatures bottoming near 17–18°C after midnight before any further dip. This aligns with September climatology (typical low ~16°C) while recent model runs diverge on the exact timing and intensity of clearing, creating the near-even odds between 18°C (51%) and the 14–17°C cluster. Official resolution will hinge on the final 24-hour minimum recorded by local stations, with any late-evening stabilization or additional showers the key variables that could shift the outcome within the narrow implied-probability band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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