**Persistent East Asian summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and high humidity are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Shenzhen near 26–28°C on August 25, 2026, producing the closely matched market-implied probabilities (28°C at 36.5%, 26°C at 27.0%, 30°C at 25.5%).** Typical late-August climatology for Shenzhen features average minimums of 26–27°C amid frequent showers and thick cloud. Recent model guidance and observations indicate continued overcast skies and patchy rain, which limit nighttime radiative cooling by trapping heat and moisture. This setup favors the leading 26–28°C outcomes while reducing the chance of sharper drops below 25°C (combined ~13.5% probability). Higher outcomes near 30°C gain support from urban heat retention and any breaks in rain that maintain elevated dew points. No major typhoon or frontal system is currently forecast to alter the pattern, leaving model spread on exact cloud thickness and timing as the key uncertainty for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
33°C or higher 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
30°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
28%
27°C
14%
28°C
29%
29°C
23%
30°C
25%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
46%
33°C or higher 46%
28°C 29%
26°C 28%
30°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$210 Vol.
2%
24°C
$62 Vol.
3%
25°C
$59 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$48 Vol.
25%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C
$165 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$145 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent East Asian summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and high humidity are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Shenzhen near 26–28°C on August 25, 2026, producing the closely matched market-implied probabilities (28°C at 36.5%, 26°C at 27.0%, 30°C at 25.5%).**
Typical late-August climatology for Shenzhen features average minimums of 26–27°C amid frequent showers and thick cloud. Recent model guidance and observations indicate continued overcast skies and patchy rain, which limit nighttime radiative cooling by trapping heat and moisture. This setup favors the leading 26–28°C outcomes while reducing the chance of sharper drops below 25°C (combined ~13.5% probability).
Higher outcomes near 30°C gain support from urban heat retention and any breaks in rain that maintain elevated dew points. No major typhoon or frontal system is currently forecast to alter the pattern, leaving model spread on exact cloud thickness and timing as the key uncertainty for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$695Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent East Asian summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and high humidity are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Shenzhen near 26–28°C on August 25, 2026, producing the closely matched market-implied probabilities (28°C at 36.5%, 26°C at 27.0%, 30°C at 25.5%).**
Typical late-August climatology for Shenzhen features average minimums of 26–27°C amid frequent showers and thick cloud. Recent model guidance and observations indicate continued overcast skies and patchy rain, which limit nighttime radiative cooling by trapping heat and moisture. This setup favors the leading 26–28°C outcomes while reducing the chance of sharper drops below 25°C (combined ~13.5% probability).
Higher outcomes near 30°C gain support from urban heat retention and any breaks in rain that maintain elevated dew points. No major typhoon or frontal system is currently forecast to alter the pattern, leaving model spread on exact cloud thickness and timing as the key uncertainty for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$695Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent East Asian summer monsoon conditions, widespread cloud cover, and high humidity are the main drivers keeping overnight lows in Shenzhen near 26–28°C on August 25, 2026, producing the closely matched market-implied probabilities (28°C at 36.5%, 26°C at 27.0%, 30°C at 25.5%).** Typical late-August climatology for Shenzhen features average minimums of 26–27°C amid frequent showers and thick cloud. Recent model guidance and observations indicate continued overcast skies and patchy rain, which limit nighttime radiative cooling by trapping heat and moisture. This setup favors the leading 26–28°C outcomes while reducing the chance of sharper drops below 25°C (combined ~13.5% probability). Higher outcomes near 30°C gain support from urban heat retention and any breaks in rain that maintain elevated dew points. No major typhoon or frontal system is currently forecast to alter the pattern, leaving model spread on exact cloud thickness and timing as the key uncertainty for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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