Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau indicate an overnight low near 25°C on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity near 85-90% that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions with a stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or rain keep temperatures from dropping sharply below 24°C or rising above 26°C after sunset. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in dew point, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects could push the minimum across the 25-26°C threshold, while historical September averages for Shenzhen hover around 24-25°C. New model runs and official evening briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
21°C or below 68%
31°C or higher 68%
26°C 50%
27°C 45%
21°C or below
68%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
14%
25°C
14%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
68%
21°C or below 68%
31°C or higher 68%
26°C 50%
27°C 45%
21°C or below
68%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
14%
25°C
14%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau indicate an overnight low near 25°C on September 17 under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity near 85-90% that limits radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions with a stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover or rain keep temperatures from dropping sharply below 24°C or rising above 26°C after sunset. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in dew point, wind speed, or localized urban heat effects could push the minimum across the 25-26°C threshold, while historical September averages for Shenzhen hover around 24-25°C. New model runs and official evening briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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