**Trader sentiment for Taipei's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, centers on a tight contest between 25°C and 26°C (47–51% implied probabilities), reflecting forecast model consensus around a mid-20s°C overnight minimum amid typical late-summer conditions.** Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) project an overnight low of 25–27°C, with several sources clustering near 26°C or 25–26°C. High humidity (often 80–95%), persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms or showers, and light variable winds limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows typical overnight lows near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model runs. The near-even split between 25°C and 26°C arises from minor differences in station-specific readings, urban heat island effects in central Taipei versus outlying areas, and small variations across forecast ensembles—common in humid subtropical environments where dew points remain elevated near 26°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, while higher values appear inconsistent with the evening stabilization seen in hourly guidance. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Taipei on August 29?
26°C 51%
25°C 47%
24°C 5%
23°C 1.6%
$1,682 Vol.
$1,682 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
47%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
25°C 47%
24°C 5%
23°C 1.6%
$1,682 Vol.
$1,682 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$34 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$34 Vol.
2%
24°C
$86 Vol.
5%
25°C
$15 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
51%
27°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, centers on a tight contest between 25°C and 26°C (47–51% implied probabilities), reflecting forecast model consensus around a mid-20s°C overnight minimum amid typical late-summer conditions.**
Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) project an overnight low of 25–27°C, with several sources clustering near 26°C or 25–26°C. High humidity (often 80–95%), persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms or showers, and light variable winds limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows typical overnight lows near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model runs.
The near-even split between 25°C and 26°C arises from minor differences in station-specific readings, urban heat island effects in central Taipei versus outlying areas, and small variations across forecast ensembles—common in humid subtropical environments where dew points remain elevated near 26°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, while higher values appear inconsistent with the evening stabilization seen in hourly guidance. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will likely resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,682Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Taipei's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, centers on a tight contest between 25°C and 26°C (47–51% implied probabilities), reflecting forecast model consensus around a mid-20s°C overnight minimum amid typical late-summer conditions.**
Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) project an overnight low of 25–27°C, with several sources clustering near 26°C or 25–26°C. High humidity (often 80–95%), persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms or showers, and light variable winds limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows typical overnight lows near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model runs.
The near-even split between 25°C and 26°C arises from minor differences in station-specific readings, urban heat island effects in central Taipei versus outlying areas, and small variations across forecast ensembles—common in humid subtropical environments where dew points remain elevated near 26°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, while higher values appear inconsistent with the evening stabilization seen in hourly guidance. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will likely resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,682Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei's lowest temperature on August 29, 2026, centers on a tight contest between 25°C and 26°C (47–51% implied probabilities), reflecting forecast model consensus around a mid-20s°C overnight minimum amid typical late-summer conditions.** Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) project an overnight low of 25–27°C, with several sources clustering near 26°C or 25–26°C. High humidity (often 80–95%), persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms or showers, and light variable winds limit radiational cooling after sunset, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology for Taipei shows typical overnight lows near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with current model runs. The near-even split between 25°C and 26°C arises from minor differences in station-specific readings, urban heat island effects in central Taipei versus outlying areas, and small variations across forecast ensembles—common in humid subtropical environments where dew points remain elevated near 26°C. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated, while higher values appear inconsistent with the evening stabilization seen in hourly guidance. Updated model runs and official observations near dawn will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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