Recent forecasts indicate a northerly flow shifting to southerlies on September 17, introducing cooler maritime air and likely rain that limits daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiative cooling in Wellington. Official guidance from MetService points to a minimum near 7°C under this pattern, while some international models project 6–8°C depending on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, which can suppress or enhance surface cooling. Historical September averages around 9–10°C provide context, but the current setup favors below-normal values amid spring variability. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 8–10°C outcomes because model ensembles show tight clustering there, with lower odds on extremes reflecting uncertainty in precipitation rates and local topography effects on minimum readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
9°C 30%
10°C 27%
8°C 23%
7°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
4°C or below
2%
5°C
2%
6°C
11%
7°C
19%
8°C
23%
9°C
30%
10°C
27%
11°C
19%
12°C
11%
13°C
3%
14°C or higher
5%
9°C 30%
10°C 27%
8°C 23%
7°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
5°C
$0 Vol.
2%
6°C
$0 Vol.
11%
7°C
$0 Vol.
19%
8°C
$0 Vol.
23%
9°C
$0 Vol.
30%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
11%
13°C
$0 Vol.
3%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a northerly flow shifting to southerlies on September 17, introducing cooler maritime air and likely rain that limits daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiative cooling in Wellington. Official guidance from MetService points to a minimum near 7°C under this pattern, while some international models project 6–8°C depending on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, which can suppress or enhance surface cooling. Historical September averages around 9–10°C provide context, but the current setup favors below-normal values amid spring variability. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 8–10°C outcomes because model ensembles show tight clustering there, with lower odds on extremes reflecting uncertainty in precipitation rates and local topography effects on minimum readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a northerly flow shifting to southerlies on September 17, introducing cooler maritime air and likely rain that limits daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiative cooling in Wellington. Official guidance from MetService points to a minimum near 7°C under this pattern, while some international models project 6–8°C depending on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, which can suppress or enhance surface cooling. Historical September averages around 9–10°C provide context, but the current setup favors below-normal values amid spring variability. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 8–10°C outcomes because model ensembles show tight clustering there, with lower odds on extremes reflecting uncertainty in precipitation rates and local topography effects on minimum readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a northerly flow shifting to southerlies on September 17, introducing cooler maritime air and likely rain that limits daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiative cooling in Wellington. Official guidance from MetService points to a minimum near 7°C under this pattern, while some international models project 6–8°C depending on exact frontal timing, cloud cover, and wind strength, which can suppress or enhance surface cooling. Historical September averages around 9–10°C provide context, but the current setup favors below-normal values amid spring variability. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 8–10°C outcomes because model ensembles show tight clustering there, with lower odds on extremes reflecting uncertainty in precipitation rates and local topography effects on minimum readings. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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