Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent leads in late-September polling from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Genial/Quaest, where she outpaces rivals by several points in combined first- and second-choice scenarios. Her candidacy on the Frente Popular ticket alongside incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid has consolidated support among key voter blocs. Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), running outside major coalitions, trail in the low teens or single digits, while the remaining dozen registered candidates register negligible shares. Trader pricing reflects this polling hierarchy and the absence of late-breaking shifts in the final weeks before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMarília Arraes 73%
Humberto Costa 11.3%
Eduardo da Fonte 9.4%
Mendonça Filho 9.2%
$33,344 Vol.
$33,344 Vol.

Marília Arraes
73%

Humberto Costa
14%

Eduardo da Fonte
9%

Mendonça Filho
9%

Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%

Túlio Gadêlha
<1%

Gorett Bitu
<1%

Mariano Macedo
<1%

Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%

Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%

Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%

Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Marília Arraes 73%
Humberto Costa 11.3%
Eduardo da Fonte 9.4%
Mendonça Filho 9.2%
$33,344 Vol.
$33,344 Vol.

Marília Arraes
73%

Humberto Costa
14%

Eduardo da Fonte
9%

Mendonça Filho
9%

Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%

Túlio Gadêlha
<1%

Gorett Bitu
<1%

Mariano Macedo
<1%

Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%

Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%

Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%

Samuel Timoteo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent leads in late-September polling from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Genial/Quaest, where she outpaces rivals by several points in combined first- and second-choice scenarios. Her candidacy on the Frente Popular ticket alongside incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid has consolidated support among key voter blocs. Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), running outside major coalitions, trail in the low teens or single digits, while the remaining dozen registered candidates register negligible shares. Trader pricing reflects this polling hierarchy and the absence of late-breaking shifts in the final weeks before voting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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