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icon for Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place

Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place

Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place

Marília Arraes 73%

Humberto Costa 11.3%

Eduardo da Fonte 9.4%

Mendonça Filho 9.2%

Polymarket

$33,344 Vol.

Marília Arraes 73%

Humberto Costa 11.3%

Eduardo da Fonte 9.4%

Mendonça Filho 9.2%

Polymarket

$33,344 Vol.

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$16,485 Vol.

73%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$9,659 Vol.

14%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$921 Vol.

9%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$1,357 Vol.

9%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$625 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$667 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$630 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$668 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$523 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$565 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent leads in late-September polling from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Genial/Quaest, where she outpaces rivals by several points in combined first- and second-choice scenarios. Her candidacy on the Frente Popular ticket alongside incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid has consolidated support among key voter blocs. Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), running outside major coalitions, trail in the low teens or single digits, while the remaining dozen registered candidates register negligible shares. Trader pricing reflects this polling hierarchy and the absence of late-breaking shifts in the final weeks before voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,344
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4 Senate election, backed by consistent leads in late-September polling from Real Time Big Data, Datafolha, and Genial/Quaest, where she outpaces rivals by several points in combined first- and second-choice scenarios. Her candidacy on the Frente Popular ticket alongside incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and aligned with João Campos’s gubernatorial bid has consolidated support among key voter blocs. Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP), running outside major coalitions, trail in the low teens or single digits, while the remaining dozen registered candidates register negligible shares. Trader pricing reflects this polling hierarchy and the absence of late-breaking shifts in the final weeks before voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,344
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Marília Arraes" di 73%, diikuti oleh "Humberto Costa" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 73¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place" telah menghasilkan $33.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah "Marília Arraes" di 73%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Humberto Costa" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.