Russia and Ukraine remain far apart on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees for Kyiv, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities, with negotiations stalled after February 2026 talks in Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Kremlin statements on May 9 described any settlement as a very long way off, citing complex details and paused diplomacy despite a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange around Victory Day. Russian forces continue offensive operations along the front line while rejecting Ukrainian demands for long-term agreements over temporary pauses. With only weeks remaining until June 30, the absence of recent de-escalation signals or concessions from Moscow underpins trader consensus that a full peace deal is unlikely to materialize in time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$437,466 Vol.
$437,466 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$437,466 Vol.
$437,466 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Russia and Ukraine remain far apart on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees for Kyiv, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities, with negotiations stalled after February 2026 talks in Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Kremlin statements on May 9 described any settlement as a very long way off, citing complex details and paused diplomacy despite a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange around Victory Day. Russian forces continue offensive operations along the front line while rejecting Ukrainian demands for long-term agreements over temporary pauses. With only weeks remaining until June 30, the absence of recent de-escalation signals or concessions from Moscow underpins trader consensus that a full peace deal is unlikely to materialize in time.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$437,466Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Russia and Ukraine remain far apart on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees for Kyiv, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities, with negotiations stalled after February 2026 talks in Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Kremlin statements on May 9 described any settlement as a very long way off, citing complex details and paused diplomacy despite a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange around Victory Day. Russian forces continue offensive operations along the front line while rejecting Ukrainian demands for long-term agreements over temporary pauses. With only weeks remaining until June 30, the absence of recent de-escalation signals or concessions from Moscow underpins trader consensus that a full peace deal is unlikely to materialize in time.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$437,466Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia and Ukraine remain far apart on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees for Kyiv, and limits on Ukrainian military capabilities, with negotiations stalled after February 2026 talks in Geneva produced no breakthroughs. Kremlin statements on May 9 described any settlement as a very long way off, citing complex details and paused diplomacy despite a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire and prisoner exchange around Victory Day. Russian forces continue offensive operations along the front line while rejecting Ukrainian demands for long-term agreements over temporary pauses. With only weeks remaining until June 30, the absence of recent de-escalation signals or concessions from Moscow underpins trader consensus that a full peace deal is unlikely to materialize in time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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