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Politik·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Politik·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

BARU

$11,569 Vol.

Aug 28, 2026
Polymarket

$11,569 Vol.

Polymarket

Bank / Asset 10+ times

$88 Vol.

54%

Task Force 5+ times

$361 Vol.

62%

Stable 5+ times

$371 Vol.

19%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

$802 Vol.

49%

Challenge

$230 Vol.

56%

Framework

$741 Vol.

74%

Prediction / Predictive

$886 Vol.

27%

CapEx / Capital Expenditure

$462 Vol.

50%

Regime

$529 Vol.

69%

Integrity

$215 Vol.

26%

Productivity

$891 Vol.

78%

Independent / Independence

$113 Vol.

74%

2008 / Financial Crisis

$853 Vol.

44%

Good Day

$1,592 Vol.

35%

Good Morning

$381 Vol.

59%

Trump

$685 Vol.

4%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$1,301 Vol.

24%

Gold

$920 Vol.

10%

Too Late

$100 Vol.

8%

-No Qualifying Event-

$49 Vol.

6%

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chair Kevin Warsh’s August 28 keynote at the Jackson Hole Symposium (August 27–29) under the theme “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy” represents his first major address since taking office in May 2026. Markets are watching for signals on monetary policy as the federal funds target sits at 3.5–3.75 percent following the July FOMC decision. Warsh has shifted toward shorter statements, minimal forward guidance, and explicit independence from market pricing, emphasizing long-term structural issues over near-term rate path hints. Recent comments underscore commitment to the 2 percent inflation target with “no tolerance” for persistently elevated readings. Traders will parse any references to communications reform or FOMC meeting frequency against the September 15–16 policy meeting and latest inflation data.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$11,569
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfFed Chair Kevin Warsh’s August 28 keynote at the Jackson Hole Symposium (August 27–29) under the theme “Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy” represents his first major address since taking office in May 2026. Markets are watching for signals on monetary policy as the federal funds target sits at 3.5–3.75 percent following the July FOMC decision. Warsh has shifted toward shorter statements, minimal forward guidance, and explicit independence from market pricing, emphasizing long-term structural issues over near-term rate path hints. Recent comments underscore commitment to the 2 percent inflation target with “no tolerance” for persistently elevated readings. Traders will parse any references to communications reform or FOMC meeting frequency against the September 15–16 policy meeting and latest inflation data.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$11,569
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Productivity" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Framework" di 74%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" telah menghasilkan $11.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 18, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" adalah "Productivity" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Framework" di 74%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.