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icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

BARU
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,000 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$631 Vol.

53%

December 31

$1,368 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 160 individuals by early September 2026, including a batch of 30 pardons and commutations on September 3 for drug, fraud, and firearms offenses, plus additional grants days later. Initial actions on inauguration day covered roughly 1,600 January 6 cases, followed by targeted releases for allies and others through mid-2026. Discussions of broader initiatives, such as around the nation's semiquincentennial, have surfaced alongside routine grants. These patterns reflect ongoing executive discretion over federal sentences, with trader views shaped by the frequency of recent actions and any signals on future timelines or eligibility criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,000
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 160 individuals by early September 2026, including a batch of 30 pardons and commutations on September 3 for drug, fraud, and firearms offenses, plus additional grants days later. Initial actions on inauguration day covered roughly 1,600 January 6 cases, followed by targeted releases for allies and others through mid-2026. Discussions of broader initiatives, such as around the nation's semiquincentennial, have surfaced alongside routine grants. These patterns reflect ongoing executive discretion over federal sentences, with trader views shaped by the frequency of recent actions and any signals on future timelines or eligibility criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,000
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 83%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 53%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 83¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" adalah "December 31" di 83%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 83% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 53%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.