Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCO-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
CO-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$40,350 Vol.
$40,350 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$40,350 Vol.
$40,350 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$19,132 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$21,218 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$40,350Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,350Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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