Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$5,769 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,610 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,379Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,379Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin the 93.5% Republican implied probability. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to seek the governorship, creating an open seat, yet all major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Multiple Republican primary candidates have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Late developments such as a Republican primary scandal, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or successful legal challenges to the state's congressional map could narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability shifts given the district's structural profile.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti