Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Ankara’s June 16 maximum near 28–30 °C under mostly clear skies and light westerly flow, with the 29 °C outcome holding the narrowest edge in trader positioning. Daytime heating will be modulated by modest low-level moisture and variable afternoon cloud development, which can trim peak readings by 1–2 °C if scattered cover increases earlier than expected. Historical June climatology for the Anatolian plateau shows typical maxima around 27–29 °C, so the tight 28–29 °C spread reflects limited upside from the current ridge while acknowledging run-to-run differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the remaining uncertainty ahead of market close.