Traders see 19°C and 20°C as the most probable peak temperatures in Ankara today because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place the daytime maximum squarely in that narrow band under a stable high-pressure ridge. Light winds below 10 km/h and mostly clear skies are allowing steady surface heating from strong May solar insolation, while morning readings near 14–15°C set a baseline that supports modest afternoon warming. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud cover timing, and the urban heat-island contribution across the city center create the tight spread between 18°C and 21°C outcomes. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service through the late afternoon will settle the market, with any unexpected increase in wind or thin high cloud cover likely to cap readings at the lower end of the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 17 maggio?
19°C 39%
20°C 28%
18°C 23%
17°C 9.8%
$17,108 Vol.
$17,108 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
23%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 28%
18°C 23%
17°C 9.8%
$17,108 Vol.
$17,108 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
10%
18°C
23%
19°C
39%
20°C
28%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACTraders see 19°C and 20°C as the most probable peak temperatures in Ankara today because ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS place the daytime maximum squarely in that narrow band under a stable high-pressure ridge. Light winds below 10 km/h and mostly clear skies are allowing steady surface heating from strong May solar insolation, while morning readings near 14–15°C set a baseline that supports modest afternoon warming. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud cover timing, and the urban heat-island contribution across the city center create the tight spread between 18°C and 21°C outcomes. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service through the late afternoon will settle the market, with any unexpected increase in wind or thin high cloud cover likely to cap readings at the lower end of the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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