Traders have assigned overwhelming 99.4% implied probability to a 19°C daily maximum temperature in Beijing today, driven by the latest ensemble forecast runs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models that converge tightly around this value. Current surface observations of temperature, pressure, and humidity, combined with springtime climatological norms for mid-May in northern China, show no significant deviation from this projection. Official meteorological guidance continues to indicate stable atmospheric conditions without rapid warming mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convective heating or a shift in regional wind patterns that pushes the observed high above the modeled range before the daily measurement closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 17 maggio?
19°C 98.5%
20°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$65,292 Vol.
$65,292 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 98.5%
20°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$65,292 Vol.
$65,292 Vol.
17 mag 2026
13°C or below
$517 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$640 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,765 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,574 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,775 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,265 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$7,943 Vol.
99%
20°C
$7,346 Vol.
1%
21°C
$4,780 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,092 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,673 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have assigned overwhelming 99.4% implied probability to a 19°C daily maximum temperature in Beijing today, driven by the latest ensemble forecast runs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models that converge tightly around this value. Current surface observations of temperature, pressure, and humidity, combined with springtime climatological norms for mid-May in northern China, show no significant deviation from this projection. Official meteorological guidance continues to indicate stable atmospheric conditions without rapid warming mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convective heating or a shift in regional wind patterns that pushes the observed high above the modeled range before the daily measurement closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$65,292Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have assigned overwhelming 99.4% implied probability to a 19°C daily maximum temperature in Beijing today, driven by the latest ensemble forecast runs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models that converge tightly around this value. Current surface observations of temperature, pressure, and humidity, combined with springtime climatological norms for mid-May in northern China, show no significant deviation from this projection. Official meteorological guidance continues to indicate stable atmospheric conditions without rapid warming mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convective heating or a shift in regional wind patterns that pushes the observed high above the modeled range before the daily measurement closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$65,292Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAATraders have assigned overwhelming 99.4% implied probability to a 19°C daily maximum temperature in Beijing today, driven by the latest ensemble forecast runs from global and regional numerical weather prediction models that converge tightly around this value. Current surface observations of temperature, pressure, and humidity, combined with springtime climatological norms for mid-May in northern China, show no significant deviation from this projection. Official meteorological guidance continues to indicate stable atmospheric conditions without rapid warming mechanisms. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon convective heating or a shift in regional wind patterns that pushes the observed high above the modeled range before the daily measurement closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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