Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a likely high of 25–26°C in Beijing on May 19, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Southerly flow and weak surface pressure gradients are expected to limit strong warming, while afternoon cloud cover or light precipitation could cap peak temperatures near 24°C in some runs. Conversely, clearer skies and modest urban heat retention might push readings to 27°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with resolution hinging on final observational adjustments from official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 19 maggio?
26°C 29%
25°C 18%
27°C 18%
24°C 17%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
29%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
25°C 18%
27°C 18%
24°C 17%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
29%
27°C
18%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a likely high of 25–26°C in Beijing on May 19, reflecting the market’s tight clustering around these outcomes. Southerly flow and weak surface pressure gradients are expected to limit strong warming, while afternoon cloud cover or light precipitation could cap peak temperatures near 24°C in some runs. Conversely, clearer skies and modest urban heat retention might push readings to 27°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with resolution hinging on final observational adjustments from official stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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