Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 16 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 16 maggio?
14°C 100.0%
10°C o meno <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Vol.
$63,099 Vol.
16 mag 2026
10°C o meno
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o superiore
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C o meno <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$63,099 Vol.
$63,099 Vol.
16 mag 2026
10°C o meno
$3,011 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,174 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,460 Vol.
No
13°C
$14,870 Vol.
No
14°C
$10,563 Vol.
Sì
15°C
$5,159 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,809 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,401 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,527 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,715 Vol.
No
20°C o superiore
$4,413 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$63,099Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,099Data di fine
16 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official meteorological observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of exactly 14 °C at the key Buenos Aires reporting station on May 16, driving the market’s 100 % implied probability for that outcome. A post-frontal southerly flow and variable cloud cover suppressed daytime heating well below the month’s climatological average of 17–19 °C, consistent with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models. This strong consensus reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, though rare late data revisions at the Minister Pistarini station or station-specific micro-climate adjustments could theoretically shift resolution within the narrow uncertainty band typical of mid-autumn conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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